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Lode Exchange

Ways to invest in a mining project

Listed shares, placements with warrants, project stakes, royalties, streams and loans: what each one gives an investor, how and when it pays, and what it is exposed to.

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The same project can be owned in several ways. Each one decides when you get paid, what you are exposed to, and what happens if the company, the project or its owner changes.

The main instruments

InstrumentWhat you ownHow it paysTypical stage
Listed sharesA share of the company, bought on the marketA rising share price or a takeoverAny
shares and warrantsNew shares at a discount, usually with As listed shares, plus the warrants' upsideAny, most often stages 1–4
Flow-through shares (Canada)Shares with tax deductions for exploration spendingTax benefit plus share upsideStages 1–3
Project stake or A direct share of the project, not the companyA share of project value or cash flowStages 2–5
A percentage of revenue for the life of the mineCash once the mine producesAny
The right to buy part of the output at a low priceMargin on each unit deliveredMostly stages 5–6
Loans and convertiblesA debt claim, sometimes convertible into sharesInterest, repayment, or conversionMostly stages 5–6

How they compare

SharesRoyaltyStreamLoan
RanksLastAhead of shareholdersAhead of shareholdersFirst, usually secured
Exposed to cost overrunsYesNoMostly noThrough default risk
Exposed to dilutionYesNoNoNo
Upside from price and mine expansionsMostYesYesNone
Paid before productionOnly by selling or a takeoverNoNoInterest, sometimes
Survives a sale of the projectConverted into the buyer's offerYes: attached to the groundYes, usuallyUsually repaid
LiquidityDaily, but often thinLowLowLow

The marketplace this site is building will focus on project-level deals: royalties, project stakes and direct financings for projects at stages 2–4.

A worked example

An invented junior at the maiden resource stage needs money. An investor has $2M and two offers:

  • A placement: $2M buys about 6% of the company, with warrants.
  • A royalty: $2M buys a 1% NSR royalty over the project.

Three outcomes:

OutcomePlacement shares1% royalty
Project failsShares near zeroWorth near zero, unless the project is revived
Sold to a major at the PFS for $200MAfter later dilution to about 4%: about $8M, paid at the saleStays on the project; worth more now, but still pays nothing until production
Mine built: $300M a year of net smelter return for 12 yearsAlready sold at the takeover$3M a year: $36M in total before discounting

The shares pay at the sale and are exposed to every financing before it. The royalty pays only if the mine is built, but it keeps paying for decades and survives the change of owner. Neither is better in general: they are different bets on the same rock.

Questions to ask before choosing

  • What do I need to be true to make money? A discovery, a sale, or a built mine?
  • Where do I rank if things go wrong, and who ranks ahead of me?
  • What dilutes me? Future placements dilute shares; nothing dilutes a royalty, but new royalties can reduce the project's financeability.
  • When can I get out? Listed shares trade; royalties, project stakes and placement shares in their hold period often do not.
  • What rights come with it? Information rights, a board seat, participation in future raises, a right of first refusal.

What to take away

Pick the instrument that matches the outcome you are betting on. Shares are a bet on the company and its next re-rating; royalties and streams are bets on the mine being built and run; project stakes sit in between.

All figures are invented for illustration. This is educational material, not investment advice.

Key terms

Next in this track

Valuing a junior at each stageBefore a study there is no cash flow to discount, so the market uses other yardsticks: cash and comparables, value per resource ounce, then price to NAV and risked NAV. Which method fits which stage, and the traps in each.

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Educational material only. Nothing here is investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security or mineral interest.