Permitting and environmental approvals
Before a mine can be built it needs an approved environmental impact assessment and a stack of other permits. How long that takes, and how certain it is, is one of the biggest drivers of value before construction.
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Permitting rarely changes what a mine is worth once built. It changes when the mine is built, and whether it is built at all.
What has to be approved
The core approval is usually the (EIA, or ESIA when social impacts are included). Around it sit many narrower permits:
| Permit | Covers |
|---|---|
| Environmental approval | The overall project, based on the EIA |
| Water | Taking water and discharging it |
| Tailings and waste | Design and safety of tailings storage and waste dumps |
| Land and surface use | Access to and use of the land surface |
| Construction and power | Buildings, power lines, roads, explosives |
| Heritage | Archaeological and cultural sites |
Large projects may need dozens of permits from several agencies and levels of government.
The usual sequence
- Baseline studies: at least a year, often longer, of water, air, wildlife and social data, so seasons are captured. Starting late is a common cause of delay.
- Scoping: agreeing with the regulator what the assessment must cover.
- Assessment: the EIA document itself, built on the mine plan from the PFS or feasibility study.
- Review and consultation: public comment, agency review, often hearings and consultation with Indigenous groups.
- Decision: approval with conditions, or refusal.
- Appeals: in many countries, the decision can be challenged in court.
Timelines vary from a year or two in some places to the better part of a decade in others.
Why delay costs so much
Delay costs money in two ways. Every cash flow moves later, so it is discounted more. And the company keeps paying its team, its consultants and its licence fees while it waits.
| Delay | Share of NPV left, at 8% |
|---|---|
| 1 year | about 93% |
| 2 years | about 86% |
| 3 years | about 79% |
That is before holding costs, inflation in the build cost, or the risk that metal prices are lower when the mine is finally ready.
Approval is not the end
- Conditions attached to an approval can add cost: monitoring, offsets, design changes.
- Judicial review can overturn or suspend an approval after it is granted.
- Changes to the mine plan later, such as an expansion or a new pit, may need new approvals.
What to take away
Check when baseline studies started, what the regulator still has to decide, and how long similar projects have taken in the same place. A study schedule that assumes approvals faster than local precedent is a red flag.
Figures are illustrative. This is educational material, not legal or investment advice.
Key terms
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Educational material only. Nothing here is investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security or mineral interest.